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How high can mortgage rates go with Iran conflict 2.0?
As the 10-year nears 4.60%, rates could test 6.75%, but improved spreads and pricing suggest an upside cap near 7.25%.
50 articles
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As the 10-year nears 4.60%, rates could test 6.75%, but improved spreads and pricing suggest an upside cap near 7.25%.
via HousingWire
Weekly housing indicators suggest a modest cooling as mortgage rates spent most of last week above 6.64% and the Iran co...
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Markets watch monthly core inflation prints and conflict headlines as the 10-year holds near 4.60% and Fed tone stays ha...
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Pending sales rose to 63,971 versus 61,143 in 2025, inventory ended at 844,011, and price cuts were 39.57% versus 41%.
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The 10-year yield touched 4.60% on Iran headlines, but tighter spreads and a 6.50% to 6.75% base keep 7% less likely.
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30-year conforming rates averaged 6.77%, with jumbo at 6.75%, as Fed messaging stayed hawkish and 1-year inflation expec...
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Mortgage spreads improved to 2.01%, keeping rates near 6.60% as total pending sales rose to 422,120 vs 396,652 last year...
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A hawkish Fed outlook is anchoring the 10-year near 4.46% to 4.48%, keeping mortgage rates near 6.50% to 6.75% despite o...
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Mortgage spreads improved in 2026, keeping rates below 7% and helping demand hold up, even as oil spiked and inflation s...
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Many people in the housing industry are wondering why mortgage rates haven’t fallen even as oil prices have dropped from...
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Sentiment has shifted when it comes to rate expectations as more housing market observers are predicting at least one ra...
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The second half of 2026 hinges on whether demand stays positive with mortgage rates near 6.60% and tighter comps from Ju...
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Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s new framework for the U.S. central bank carries significant implications for the mor...
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The 10-year yield is 4.43% and mortgage rates are 6.58%, with Fed week and inflation data setting the next move.
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If the Iran conflict lasts five to six more months, the peak mortgage rate could run 0.375% to 0.435% above 6.75% despit...
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Weekly pending sales increased to 75,935 versus 69,636, and purchase apps were up 7% year over year despite higher mortg...
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Demand for mortgage purchase applications has shown resilience in the first half of 2026, even as rates ticked up.
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Rates for 30-year conforming mortgages stayed above 6.7% this week, but housing market activity has been resilient as we...
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Getting the 10-year yield and mortgage rates to pre-conflict lows will be harder than people think even if this conflict...
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HousingWire Data shows 30-year conforming rates at 6.77%, FHA at 6.33% and jumbo at 6.89% as the 10-year yield rises ami...
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Pending sales rose to 78,006 and purchase apps rose 7% yearly, even as mortgage rates hit highs and yields neared 4.60%.
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Loan officers are shifting their playbooks to keep deals alive as mortgage rates climb north of 6.6%.
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If mortgage spreads were at the highest levels from 2023-2025 with the 10-year yield at this level, mortgage rates would...
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Jerome Powell's tenure as Federal Reserve chair is coming to an end as the Department of Justice (DOJ) has ended its inv...
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Inventory rose to 743,006, new listings hit 77,919 and pending sales rose to 73,241 as rates neared 6.25%.
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MBA’s Mike Fratantoni expects 2026 inflation near 4% and no Fed cuts, keeping mortgage rates and bond yields elevated.
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Mortgage rates have soared in the past month, but market participants appeared to take a wait-and-see approach this week...
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War-time economics have sent gas prices skyrocketing and pushed mortgage rates higher over the last five weeks, from a l...
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Mortgage rates continued to rise this week, placing more strain on a 2026 spring housing market that was expected to be...
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Mortgage rates ended the week at 6.64%, purchase apps slowed to 5% YoY, inventory rose to 713,549 and mortgage spreads w...
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Mortgage rates have risen from sub 6% to 6.62% as the Iran conflict escalates, while purchase apps fell 5% and growth sl...
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With little to suggest that the U.S.-Iran conflict will end soon — and with crude-oil prices rising to more than $100 pe...
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Despite higher oil prices and mortgage rates and no indication that Iran war is ending, existing home sales posted anoth...
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The Iran war pushed the 10-year yield above a key level Friday and mortgage rates are headed higher as the conflict drag...
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Mortgage rates saw moderate increases in the past week as global economic uncertainty around the U.S.-Iran conflict cont...
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2026 demand data is positive, but Iran-driven energy costs, 15% tariffs, and Fed hawks could push mortgage rates above 6...
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30-year mortgage rates hovered near 6.15% as employer payrolls fell by 92,000 in February and markets expected no Fed ra...
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As oil spiked toward $120, the 10-year yield moved to 4.21% then eased to 4.13% while mortgage rates stayed near 6.17%.
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Mortgage rates ended last week at 5.99% as the 10-year hit a 2026 low, but now we have a new variable: war with Iran.
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Mortgage rates fell to 5.98%-5.99% as the 10-year yield moved under 4% and mortgage spreads held near normal levels.
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Rental vacancy is 7.2% and homeowner vacancy is 1.2%, supporting shelter disinflation and steadier mortgage rates.
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After a weekend of crazy headlines and a stock sell-off on Monday morning, bond yields are close to hitting 4% again, bu...
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Last week, pending home sales rose 4.6% year over year, inventory reached 700,259 and mortgage rates held near 6%.
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Housing demand rebounded as snow effects faded, pending sales and new listings rose, and price cuts fell 1% with rates a...
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Normal job creation levels of the past are now looked at as big beats, and that has lowered the unemployment rate to 4.3...
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Mortgage rates are stable near 6.2% after the Fed’s decision, with spring housing activity hinging on jobs and inflation...
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Federal Reserve policymakers are set to wrap up what’s expected to be an uneventful two-day meeting on Wednesday. Mortga...
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Mortgage rates near 6% are driving higher home sales and applications, with inventory and new listings also rising in 20...
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President Donald Trump is set to speak Wednesday at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, and it’s already pro...
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Normalized mortgage spreads and steady rates may drive the first real year of home sales growth since 2021.